Modeling and Analysis to Foster Societal Safety and Sustainability in a Changing World

Guikema Research Group, University of Michigan

Who Are We?

The Guikema research group consists of Dr. Seth Guikema and a group of postdoctoral researchers and Ph.D., masters, and undergraduate students. Dr. Guikema moved to the University of Michigan from Johns Hopkins University in August 2015, and the group currently consists of 2 Ph.D. students and one undergraduate student at Johns Hopkins University and 1 postdoc., 2 Ph.D. students, and approximately 18 undergraduate and masters research students at the University of Michigan. Our research is focused on and grounded in risk analysis, statistical learning theory, Bayesian probability, stochastic simulation, decision analysis, and agent-based modeling. We focus on issues related to climate adaptation and the sustainabiltiy of cities and infrastructure, disaster risk analysis, critical infrastructure modeling, natural hazards, and terrorism risk. Our work is a mix of developing and testing new methods and applying methods to better understand problems of societal importance. Much of what we do is strongly interdisciplinary. The information in this web page should help to give a better picture of what we do. Contact one of us if you have questions or would like more information!

Selected News

January 2016 Andrea Staid completed her Ph.D. in the research group at Johns Hopkins Univesity and is now a researcher at Sandia National Laboratory.

December 2015 A paper authored by Gina Tonn, Seth Guikema, Steven Quiring, and Celso Ferreira titled "Hurriane Isaac: A Longitudinal Analysis of Storm Characteristics and Power Outage Risk" was accepted for publication in Risk Analysis.

November 2015 A paper titled "Multidecadal increase in North Atlantic coccolithophores and the potential role of rising CO2" has been published in Science. The paper was authored by Sara Rivero-Calle, Anand Gnanadesikan, Carlos Del Castillo, William Balch, and Seth Guikema. The paper is available here.

August 2015 Dr. Roshi Nateghi, a PhD graduate of the group and a former NSF SEES Postdoctoral fellow joint between the group and Resources for the Future in Washington, DC, is now and Assistant Professor of Environmental and Ecological Engineering and Industrial Engineering at Purdue University.

August 2015 Dr. Laiyin Zhu, a postdoctoral researcher in the group, is now an Assistant Professor in the Geography Department at Western Michigan University.

April 2015 A paper by Allison Reilly, Andrew Samuel, and Seth Guikema titled "Gaming the system: Decision making by interdependent critical infrastructure" has been accepted for publication in Decision Analysis.

April 2015 A paper by Gelyani, Abrahamsen, Asche, and Guikema titled "Some considerations on how often safety critical valves should be tested" has been accepted for publication in Internal Journal of Business Continuity and Risk Management.

March 2015 A paper by Julie Shortridte, Stefanie Falconi, Ben Zaitchik, and Seth Guikema titled "Climate, agriculture, and hunger: Statistical prediction of undernourishment using non-linear regression and data mining techniques" has been accepted for publication in Journal of Applied Statistics

March 2015 A paper by Roshi Nateghi, Seth Guikema, Yue Wu, and Byron Bruss titled "Critical assessment of the foundations of power transmission and distribution reliability metrics and standards" has been accepted for publication in Risk Analysis.

September 2014 A paper by Andrea Staid, Seth Guikema, Roshanak Nateghi, Steven Quiring, and Michael Gao titled "Simulation of tropical cyclone impacts to the U.S. power system under climate change scenarios" has been accepted for publication in Climatic Change.

September 2014 A paper by Seth Guikema, Roshanak Nateghi, Steven Quiring, Andrea Staid, Allison Reilly, and Michael Gao titled "Predicting hurricane power outages to support storm response planning" has been accepted for publication in IEEE Access.